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Forex patterns – Wolfe Waves

Posted in Charts by Lewis Wolfe
Saturday, November 1st, 2008 11:51 AM GMT

Wolfe waves are interesting patterns – that they might be used in forex trading implies something about harmonics and equilibrium in price movement – as if there’s a push and pull effect going on. For example, a drop through a trend may produce an “energy” that propels the price up significantly on the next wave (or the converse) – think about springs, compressed, expanded etc.

Five waves - showing supply and demand (resistance/support) and tending towards an equilibrium price. The bullish formation is shown in the diagram.

wolfe-wave.gif


As with the ubiquitous Elliott wave, Wolfe waves should be identifiable whatever the timeframe, long or short term.

The characteristics of the Wolfe wave pattern are:
Waves 3 and 4 must be contained in the channel created by 1-2
Wave (1-2) equals wave (3-4) – (showing a symmetry)
There are regular time intervals between all the waves.

Wave 5 is the entry pointit breaks the trendline established by waves 1 and 3
Waves 1 and 4 can be extrapolated to create an estimated price for 6

Notice that the patterns produced are not unlike ascending/descending triangles, but with this there’s a definite final price direction proposed.

Wolfe waves are also a starting point for some distinctly fey theory where a bit too much importance gets loaded on to the pattern and harmonics – theory probably ok as far as it goes, real-life application a lot more doubtful…

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